LESSONS OF THE 2016 US ELECTION
the dangers of underestimation and the belief in entitlement
Before getting into this article, I first want to state that it should be placed in the one man´s opinion column as that is what it is.
But, it is from one man with over 45 years of business experience on every continent and with every type of government, political system, business environment and social structure on the planet.
There are in my opinion and experience, three capital sins people tend to commit in their individual lives and especially in business and politics.
The first and greatest is not being honest with oneself in any endeavor and most especially in the worlds of business and politics, where one has to depend on decisions and perceptions of others if they hope to be successful.
The second is underestimating the individual and environment in which you have to operate or compete.
And the third and most deadly sin is to adopt of belief of entitlement when you are competing.
If there are any lessons that the US election of 2016 have for anyone smart enough and willing enough to take away from it, it will be the lack of being honest with themselves that most everyone involved on the left failed to do starting of course with the Democratic party, Mrs. Clinton, the media and finally a large portion of the American population.
The Democratic party failed to honestly assess, understand and accept the abject failure of the last eight years of their control of US policy and the incredible failure of the Obama administration, especially with regards to the economic condition of the Nation as a whole and more importantly, what the Obama presidency had done to a very large portion of the population across every strata of American society.
They never honestly understood how unsafe the core of Americans had come to feel, not just from jihadist or other governments, but, within America itself from the unchecked violence happening across the Nation and reaching third world proportions in some cities of various States.
They also failed to take an honest look and assessment of Hillary Clinton as their chosen candidate and Obama successor, to the point of illegally choking the possibility of an alternative candidate actually being successful in their primary race.
The underestimations made by the Party and Mrs. Clinton and her team are far too many for listing in this article but, there are two glaring issues where they failed to adequately and correctly estimate the American electorate.
Chief among those two was the underestimation of what the scandals surrounding their candidate meant to the voters and second was the underestimation of how deeply and negatively the electorate felt about the existing political establishment on both sides of the aisles in Congress.
Perhaps the one underestimation that truly caused their defeat was underestimating the value of Mr. Trump´s non-establishment presence and the value many voters would attribute to him as an agent of change to the political establishment that they considered no longer functioned for their benefit and in which they had zero opportunity to be heard and even less--- served.
Then we come to the incredible and arrogant belief that Hillary Clinton was in some way entitled to become president!
This could be seen from the very first day of the primaries and if one looks back to 2008 it is obvious that part of the outcome of that primary that moved Obama into the nomination, Mrs. Clinton not only was given one of the highest positions in his administration as Secretary of State, (one that she was and proved to be totally unfit and unqualified to exercise) and most assuredly the promise of the nomination in the 2012 campaign if Obama for whatever reasons turned out not to be a viable candidate for a second term and the nomination guaranteed to her for the 2016 elections.
She carried that air of entitlement with her from the time since Obama´s first term and one could see it for the year leading up to her announcement and for certain once she announced.
The left of the electorate was more than happy to accept that entitlement as were the media and many of the major donors to her campaign and to the Clinton foundation coffers, all with full expectation of enjoying eight years of access at the highest level of government, influence and significant economic benefit for themselves and their organizations and a larger progress on their leftist and socialistic agenda.
I learned at a very early age growing up in Western Pennsylvania that in order to win at anything you have to understand that at the very essence of the meaning of the word win is a requirement that you do not take it for granted and that until you have actually finished the race or the football game and actually have won, all you are up to that time is an opponent with no more right to win than the other guy or team and that on any day, that other guy or team can in some way and by some surprise take the victory and leave you with the loss.
All my coaches from track to football drilled into my head that until I crossed the finish line first or until the gun sounded to end the game and we had at least one more point on the scoreboard than the other team, the race or the game was not over and that meant that we had to keep giving 100% of our best.
The Democrats, the media, all the special interests groups, Hillary and her team did not do that and on top of all the other sins I just mentioned, when the election was decided, she along with her Party, all her supporters and the people who voted for her were left with the loss they never expected and deservedly so as that is the price one pays for these sins.
As for Mr. Trump, the world makes a great mistake and takes a significant risk at not understanding him and the unique capabilities he possesses, underestimating him and especially now that he is the President elect, expecting that he will suddenly become a politician like they have become used to dealing with rather than the agent of change that he actually is.
In the physical world, agents of change at times cause great explosions, sometimes world altering explosions and in this one man´s opinion, not only is America in for some great explosions up and down every part of the spectrum, but so is the rest of the world and it would be wise to evaluate themselves and the relationship they will have with America for the next four to eight years with Mr. Trump as the agent of change for America and the changed America he will have occasioned and with which they will have to learn to negotiate and exist.
If he brings about just some of the changes I think he is capable of producing, it will most certainly be a renewed, reinvigorated and stronger and greater America than it has been these last 8 years and that will have set in motion dynamic changes well into the future.
My next article will deal with those nations and institutions who should be excited about his presidency and those that should be concerned, very concerned about it, starting with, I don´t mind saying, his own Republican Party.
Until then, all the best.
TA Global Consultants